Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 15.880541 17.985643 20.342670 23.191994 26.562582 30.446714 35.296022
2025-09-21 12.423737 14.939418 17.981297 21.977178 27.158423 33.749015 42.930414
2025-09-28 10.618102 13.278662 16.664142 21.371093 27.881664 36.780542 50.249818
2025-10-05 10.512762 13.662545 17.878788 24.088718 33.276350 46.841036 69.354102
2025-10-12 9.858424 13.191990 17.831081 24.979523 36.142248 53.703793 85.231126
2025-10-19 8.877386 12.138056 16.808770 24.255831 36.378038 56.425815 94.775945
2025-10-26 8.453074 11.825409 16.807682 25.051031 39.098172 63.672170 114.259772
2025-11-02 7.823950 11.140973 16.161010 24.713253 39.832157 67.525148 128.157309
2025-11-09 7.258051 10.498184 15.507893 24.269571 40.285298 70.895522 141.943315
2025-11-16 6.795862 9.975071 14.990762 23.985056 40.964767 74.798481 158.060354
2025-11-23 6.314387 9.382539 14.305519 23.322190 40.819907 76.969421 170.665462
2025-11-30 5.979261 8.999881 13.934006 23.177230 41.655819 81.371702 190.451908
2025-12-07 5.497563 8.359143 13.099888 22.141644 40.654478 81.746451 200.175443
2025-12-14 5.045348 7.739821 12.259297 21.016687 39.332776 81.184780 207.250548
2025-12-21 4.724251 7.319614 11.733880 20.442271 39.103871 83.199403 223.111992
2025-12-28 4.894038 7.746927 12.747933 23.009845 46.222557 105.413018 317.614753
2026-01-04 4.801241 7.707322 12.903840 23.850474 49.537170 118.595903 389.042377
2026-01-11 4.520247 7.313777 12.365509 23.167575 49.056622 120.849761 417.348454
2026-01-18 4.435883 7.269088 12.486485 23.917935 52.285185 135.130552 509.966433
2026-01-25 4.233208 6.994720 12.140947 23.599248 52.700768 140.727256 565.216382
2026-02-01 4.034446 6.716204 11.767729 23.180543 52.788808 145.309998 619.290326
2026-02-08 3.865799 6.484713 11.472438 22.911986 53.252168 151.363362 687.836525
2026-02-15 3.671876 6.195282 11.041651 22.286112 52.622264 153.382335 733.810762